Oil – Should We Invest in it?


Is Oil going up again any time soon?

As everyone who follows the market knows, oil is living a dramatic historical moment. In fact, few weeks ago the price for barrel went below $40, while a year ago it was more than $100 per barrel.

What exactly happened?

crude-oilEven though we tend to believe that petrol is finishing, which on one hand is true because it is a limited resource, it actually seems like petrol is never ending. In fact,right now the offer is much more then the domain. This is gonna be even worse in the next couple of months because Iran will increase its production, which is equal to more petrol.

Furthermore, China has recently deprecated its value and this means that it is cheaper for them to export their products but much more costly to import – and lets not forget that China is one of the biggest import of petrol in the world!

Current Situation

This week the price went a little up, showing the intention to find a stability. However, the situation is not clear at all, because the price is really going up and down. Are we gonna see a stability soon, or the price will go below $30 as many analysts believe?

Is It Going To Get Better?

53p9L3KMFirst of all, as Mark Hanna said in the Wolf Of Wall Street, “ First rule of Wall Street – Nobody – and I don’t care if you’re Warren Buffet or Jimmy Buffet – nobody knows if a stock is going up, down or f-ing sideways, least of all stockbrokers. But we have to pretend we know”. However, if we take it under a logical aspect, petrol should and will get up again. In fact, at the current price smaller companies, especially in the States or Russia, won’t be able to stay in business because the cost to extract is too high compered to the price to sell – or often it doesn’t even cover the expenses. Additionally, also bigger companies are losing too much money. Lastly, we all know that at least for the next ten years petrol will be an essential resource, so it is likely that the current situation is just something momentary.

How Long?

It is impossible to give an exact time but it won’t be likely to get up at least until the end of the year – many analysts believe that petrol’s price will keep going up and down for at least two years. However, it is believed that the price should get back to be around $60 approximately in the end of 2015.

Should We Invest In It?

It depends – if you’re more of a speculator type of person don’t, but if you got some money laying there and you’re patient enough than it could be a great investment. On my end, I invested in it.


About Author

Gianlorenzo Emanuele Caruso

Gianlorenzo Emanuele Caruso was born twenty-two years ago in Varese, Italy. When he was ten years old he said to his parents that when he would have turned eighteen he would have moved away from Italy; he left at seventeen. He is in the States since five years now, he spent his first year as a senior in a Catholic high school in Maryland, and then he moved to Santa Barbara in 2011. He will graduate in June 2016, and then he is planning to transfer to London to get a master in Finance. When not in school, Gianlorenzo, can be found either traveling with his motorcycle or at his laptop checking companies to invest in. He also has a great passion for art, history, movies, and music; especially for Bruce Springsteen.

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